Best in Economics this week: August 4

Cool new dataset by the ECB on financial crises
r-yWmTIBWy_YY8gSAwX8qEv9ShqO_EHgSFpIjtVEQEOiQUP2ZVW5Id2VEmBUzwVKLcdVy47jXRVG-2as0A5NZmGdotBuHr7IAACqChx3Y6GsLNo610RCUEt_me4GR4XRHs6oqprr
https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op194.en.pdf

“Why is it so hard to forecast interest rates?”
tycEKW0SIeJxQO3HicevzRKRWmyd4uIM3AT5h6SeHWNNMjuG1FdkQdjOEr5FQxUsh4LZXGxb_z2QNGcwwoIvMKGHjWZhnBiQS03C-zTtQ2m4GIBZdID0kn0F19EvmLX-LBmIwb0a
http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2017/july/bridging-gap-forecasting-interest-rates-with-macroeconomic-trends/

There is no Q1 seasonal mismatch in the US after all (or: not that big)
CFPLQ9ftYeDtaQnnvJtNrf2docA0IOIogrmS57NWUtXINQaTEvOopJmvq0MkdkraJxKhyWgz1Aadz42z6lIO0aa7tMGZ9mGXWCRefvn5hUrHwBz0CaOA56JLrsCsZVZQ1s94sM1F
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/another-look-at-residual-seasonality-in-gdp-20170728.htm

Some interesting charts on bond bear markets
fChYMI4OMoxcpAkR6nqorXAe-VgoBWJA3pUy2k-O_P8mxdw3w0ykrZsq-9Fm0f0Md6XJ4w5s9d7fC-5RxbVm-9_FYsg9pEWjNXaKxin1Sa-ghSCEk8oPQmJWAmPw3LZyhReTxW0h
http://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2017/07/27/a-few-charts-and-a-few-thoughts-3/

Tight labour markets, declining income
pLZ39IOJ8ZKjYYzbcdK358NIBNYaMY_Gfk7gZNqt4uCkifl8dyEcFUp-SK1aG6rNC2EwHfA549hVyz2S-zjVObY1BdptdG4k3dgG17HD3TFadXOvlDWLraQy8tCWBZsp3durAxRt
https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2017/08/03/2192172/time-to-worry-about-the-american-consumer/

The IMF on the external sector
6fA5Y_qQxNc88_gGdloOiJXhZcQxbN-ZPIRypsrBt1eQlQtAa3WKHtMOjSBNxFLAbfyPZtgE3-NSDgHyvG5OMSY0ggFBaew7ZAsv-xbmaxXLUqOT2PjtFwhMUvK2JEGyNj3JREG-
http://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Policy-Papers/Issues/2017/07/27/2017-external-sector-report

The winners take more and more…
PGbEPGk9cdSwSL_e7f5kTWETTnHPD6Jr26vjh53vP0SxRIFHuWIaelenD-pjLkinnOAN2EQ9rgfJm4p0QNvfDuZJ0KippjTSqs96TMH5rVBiZUi0JM6Uh-E6xHHpzo8m32BSVHwV
https://qz.com/1040046/30-firms-earn-half-the-total-profit-made-by-all-us-public-companies/

The IMF on Japan
wWtHeYuBjZiZ34NJQWrajaCWZiootsoOQublYqvLU0AyoGBnOSeYlX07C-YoS2hpjvEtPa1QmvlJnMkQHSKdjt4v8fVEdKk49GpX49rfan3Kmzu2AclnUCphtzxtkXr3RuiEE327
http://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2017/07/31/Japan-Selected-Issues-45150

“Confronting the Challenges of Capital Flows”
hW2VHgkkq6uprRgcheh7By49JqZmw8vnfUlFnFDmsh2hXAIPhoHjLZgimH3KG5FrwHQCy4Mu09g_GysSqXIaOGHB00CherASaRaVMM7ybLOmmRIkbdIDagy8WEBpom2CGYW219Uq
https://blogs.imf.org/2017/08/02/all-hands-on-deck-confronting-the-challenges-of-capital-flows/

The sad state of things…
YQRXEW328mRx-sqhML02fiZZ49VTS9635ZV-m5zvrWz1Mxyxq0l0pKoojUwLTiinBMzZ_v84N1axVNmvK-fmP1Ju0GCFJJLcbfF314H4ryQOYRkYx45nf_6GubEV9fU2UCyl35ie
https://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/08/daily-chart-0

A really interesting read, this one. Certainly not only about bitcoin
Y6AvEClHPv1TQRHXcTy8l_UVLEiLckbaRsG8nX0JHgh-nlZBcm3Uqoq-nVqm-Nsz41oCzAs7sF2-2zbUdXF2lTDeGUiw1LSayffbPh-c-PFrebJ_Xmrx93GD32WxHYJOsZPB_4rM
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-08-02/bitcoin-exchange-had-too-many-bitcoins

 

A complete overview of all previous editions of Best of the Web Weekly Economics can be found here http://bit.ly/16dkN6i. All links provided are collected from public websites, unless otherwise specified. I have not checked the data or information for accuracy used, and therefore do not guarantee that all data provided will be 100% correct. The links provided do not necessarily reflect my personal opinion and should be seen as general interest: oftentimes I do not agree with arguments presented, but nevertheless think it is worthwhile to read them. It is up to the reader to make up their own mind. Suggestions or discussions are more than welcome. Do not quote unless specifically cleared beforehand!

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