Some more proof on how *kuch* -in- *kuch* effective negative rates really are…

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2016/02/17/2153487/yup-negative-rates-were-a-really-bad-idea/

How US ten year Treasury yields are at odds with US growth right now

http://www.businessinsider.com/torsten-slok-us-rates-market-significantly-mispriced-2016-2

Some trends in household debt (according to the OECD)

http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/docserver/download/5jm3xgtkk1f2.pdf

Somehow, I get the feeling the stock markets (and the secular stagnation thinkers) have a different view here…

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2016/02/sanders-campaign-has-crossed-neverland

Interesting: “Apple prices $12bn bond sale – Size of offering signals new life in debt markets”

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/af9a76a4-d4ca-11e5-8887-98e7feb46f27.html#axzz40MlM13hE

Can it be? Wage growth picking up? Surely the US is recession, right?

http://macroblog.typepad.com/macroblog/2016/02/are-paychecks-picking-up-the-pace.html

Techno-optimism spectrum

https://ultimibarbarorum.com/2016/02/16/where-are-you-on-the-techno-opto-pessimism-spectrum-will-robots-take-our-jobs-and-then-kill-us/

New Industrialism: the latest economic growth thinking

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-02-16/the-next-big-idea-in-economic-growth

If history is anything to go by, than Europe is the most recession prone, by the looks of it

http://uk.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-chart-country-recession-2016-2

Weird. Downgrading everything except the growth forecast of China.

http://oecdinsights.org/2016/02/18/interim-economic-outlook-elusive-global-growth-outlook-requires-urgent-policy-response/

The way the US looks from an economic perspective

http://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/this-map-will-change-the-way-you-see-the-us-economy

Ok, I missed it this year, but this could come in handy next year!

http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/02/daily-chart-7

Clinton and Bush: big spenders, but not winninghttp://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-17/the-failure-of-money-to-buy-the-presidential-nomination-in-one-chart

Record high’s, but not the one’s we would like to see…

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2016-02-17/global-warming-crushes-records-again

Some more reading on Chinese outflows

https://medium.com/@ericbeebo/china-capital-flows-what-we-sort-of-know-82fe2666a2fb#.y4vjjxhkj

Finally someone sensible: the odds of a US recession are 100%. We only do not know when…

http://news.forexlive.com/!/odds-of-another-us-recession-are-100-bnp-paribas-20160216

no less than 250 pages on how to save the Eurozone

http://www.voxeu.org/sites/default/files/file/rebooting2_web.pdf

The interesting thing is the small uptick of the green line around 65….

http://uk.businessinsider.com/divorce-and-marriage-by-age-charts-2016-2

 

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