Best of the Web: 13-06-20, nr 793

Good morning. Ah well, yes. The sell-off in bonds continued, thanks to Bernanke…
http://www.businessinsider.com/bernanke-on-rising-rates-sparks-sell-off-2013-6

 

The Fed has updated its expectations for the future. First rate hike: 2015
K8gRKTsykc0TRXmfqS4ePBNiG4wPEfw27z-vUaxAoMT3HakuWMPMEiZhWuN9n3mZDBZB61Y9A_4ZeRnh4MrTUn2V9V_jiVqv6tJge3TuuvkJ9KLjspqW8fOxxA
http://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-fomc-forecasts-2013-6

 

And here some background on the track-record of the Fed’s forecasts: triumph of the optimist…
hLBf5Xr_i7S_3UQqi9mlANZmfKVue_hCWQG3Uy2Qd8LB2CDbt9nMrVlyYEB0YetFxRtybZ2bC2utqD6fin7tYpRYfMQ5A168JmGXE5Q4xe6u-JLzVThDn774BA
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/19/this-graph-shows-how-bad-the-fed-is-at-predicting-the-future/

 

Wasn’t is the report of the weak Chinese PMI report that marked the top in the Nikkei? Guess what, it declined even further…
NVKC8bV0i2esT01esKy2a2Q3nB3758V_1_VEom7XIBYls-D-qEFSj3n9SxExXr0_v1vCixs2y2C0AK--mFFO_NHn_vT-j9s7tivTi54cv-Lh3CEtzOqZevgdwQ
http://www.businessinsider.com/june-hsbc-china-flash-pmi-2013-6

Shale oil and gas. Enough already: there is plenty to go around….
lkEbpFtqqYEjkhfw7jKPrZzqZYsgAEmx3XqivJMYfaGCHcBeibpvENpe_If4io8L-_heWyg2gfsT3piy9yOJww-wtN7S_4rMfD8Du5P8mAJT4K8_zPVftGjEDQ
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-19/us-no-longer-king-shale-oil-gas

Although this chart is probably true, it only applies to the US…
_OLuv-0-WhKMo9CG7m_z0pPBs2ewIwuHh7n_WGimgU6nQd7W9LQX1J-qZr30Eh95vCJ8c1ID28D33zJO1To17yo-AqO1pmnZ1JNmWAE0x3Bws7WAwT5x3GRoTQ
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/06/time-is-on-your-side/

 

…which also applies for this chart. What’s missing here is the volatility…
nEdT-W-vUqTPlK6q5X9SC-NUAji3m6oQ0yDdXVNZo7Qr7SvBDwLGfdjfSX3sBmGLPvMWbffpbWIhDPxMdt15Za3ibzDbgt5x-SxKtu8_0Bpxqq6RuKsQaQ3XKg

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/06/the-cost-of-cash/

You may have seen this one before, but it is a very nice clip on the US/Canada border


A pretty complicated chart, trying to show that the first rate hike is now expected in 2015. Don’t ask me what the 1,2 and 3 years lines are, though…
R8t1xUz0uPuxeP31ZS4bh_9PXnUDidsp88cbj3IZH7MSEamHHYhE05Z0WdI0ZrFCgdTnCy69Dva0WkujN1Bh3dargFzaGDU7wcQv37BwreXLl0AGaLKcvj4CZg
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-19/fomc-scenarios-and-whats-priced

Another interesting clip on the development of the Chinese yuan…
o5NyUMT_35ANU8JlrpkG67ia5oOjAPcQfOflVSXcJ_07sErq-GxlUXTg6tjOhy0WHcJ18TjY4xPn-YRAz6Y8_R0fc_e-doazJl812aZ-381GkWY4ruZKf_EoKg
http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/06/daily-chart-11

 

I sort of looked through this study, but it does not capture the full meaning of HFT. The fact that there is no profit for HFT traders is a pretty simple tell-tale sign…
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/18/high-frequency-trading-profits_n_3459497.html

 

 

A complete overview of all previous editions of Best of the Web can be found here http://tinyurl.com/c8ge4c5. All links provided are collected from public websites, unless otherwise specified. I have not checked the data or information for accuracy used, and therefore do not guarantee that all data provided will be 100% correct. The links provided do not necessarily reflect my personal opinion and should be seen as general interest: oftentimes I do not agree with arguments presented, but nevertheless think it is worthwhile to read them. It is up to the reader to make up their own mind. Suggestions or discussions are more than welcome. Do not quote unless specifically cleared beforehand!

 

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